8/24/2015 Market Update

By: Daniel Guttman / August 24, 2015

It seems that the sky is falling. Last week’s downward trend continues, and today we see it spiraling out of control. Diesel is showing early losses of $-.0453 to and is trading @ $1.4171, while gas is down even more, $ -.0612, trading @ $1.4837. WTI for October is down $2.05 and is falling even further under $40 to $38.40/barrel and one analyst believes that seeing a low such as 2008’s $33/bbl is a “conceivable reality.” The big market change this weekend was Chicago gas, which saw a cash market drop on both CBOB and RBOB of 32 and 21 cents respectively. BP, whose Whiting refinery had unplanned downtime on August 8th and was expected to be shut down for a month or longer, may in fact be returning to service much sooner than expected with a temporary fix. This can be attributed to the cash market drop and the collapse in retail gasoline prices in the Midwest.

On the topic of refineries, PBF Energy added to the mess late last week when a small fire caused them to shut down a cat cracker at their 190,000 bbl/day refinery in Delaware City. This refinery is a key player in the New York Harbor spot market, and it will be interesting to see how the market continues to react when supply tightens up a little more this week.

Locally, diesel prices have on average been falling two to three cents per week, but in our region, have not undercut gasoline prices. Diesel tends to be more expensive, largely due to its strong global demand, production costs, and higher federal taxes. Additionally, these low prices for diesel are not believed to be sticking around much longer. Agricultural harvests in the fall time, as well as the increased demand for heating oil season, typically drives the price up. Will the seasonal demand increase be enough to increase the price of diesel and outweigh the falling price of crude?

 

8-20settle


Categories: Daily Market Update


Daniel Guttman

Written by

Daniel Guttman

With a background in wholesale and commercial sales as well as pipeline scheduling, Daniel is currently the Manager, Business Development in the Card Access Fuels department. He is tasked to find new and innovative solutions to increase sales opportunities for the sales team while managing and evaluating internal department processes. He assists with day to day personnel management, customer data analysis, as well as the daily Pacific Pride inventory and pricing direction.


Guttman Energy Daily Market Update Disclaimer – The information contained in this market update is derived from sources believed to be reliable; however this update could include technical inaccuracies or typographical errors and Guttman Energy does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of this update. FURTHERMORE, THIS UPDATE IS PROVIDED "AS IS," WHERE IS, WITH ALL FAULTS AND WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY OR CONDITION OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS, IMPLIED OR STATUTORY. GUTTMAN ENERGY ALSO SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIMS ALL EXPRESS AND IMPLIED WARRANTIES. YOU USE THIS UPDATE AT YOUR SOLE RISK. This update and any view or comment expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted in any way as recommendation or inducement to buy or sell products, commodity futures or options contracts.


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