Are the Bulls Back in Town for 2016?

By: Daniel Guttman / January 5, 2016

As we move into the New Year, a question that is probably on the minds of many is: What is the outlook this year for oil supply and demand? It seems that demand will continue to be high, but likely less than 2015. 2015 global oil demand stood at 93.75 mbpd (million barrels per day) as a consensus figure from the IEA/EIA/OPEC reports, up 1.55 mbpd from 2014. Demand is estimated to grow by 1.29 mbpd this year to 95.04 mbpd.

Looking back upon 2015, we all know how bearish the market has been. From blogs about the global glut of crude to the possibility of more and more product entering the market, oversupply has been a repetitive topic for a while now. Non-OPEC supply, which jumped 1.06 mbpd to 57.87 in 2015, will fall to 57.52 mbpd in 2016, forecasters predict. The EIA sees U.S. domestic production declining by 570,000 bpd to 8.76 mbpd after gaining 630,000 bpd in 2015. Given the non-OPEC decrease in supply, this year is bound to be tighter than 2015. An interesting quote by Raymond James (an American diversified holding company) explains their outlook on 2016: “While it may take a couple of quarters to play out, we see clear evidence that global oil demand is already responding, and global oil supply is poised to slow enough to leave the market substantially undersupplied by the end of 2016, lasting through 2018."

A quick focus on today’s news as of 1pm E.T., shows diesel standing flat, gasoline is down -$.0358, and crude is down $-.87 cents.0104settle.png


Categories: Daily Market Update


Daniel Guttman

Written by

Daniel Guttman

With a background in wholesale and commercial sales as well as pipeline scheduling, Daniel is currently the Manager, Business Development in the Card Access Fuels department. He is tasked to find new and innovative solutions to increase sales opportunities for the sales team while managing and evaluating internal department processes. He assists with day to day personnel management, customer data analysis, as well as the daily Pacific Pride inventory and pricing direction.


Guttman Energy Daily Market Update Disclaimer – The information contained in this market update is derived from sources believed to be reliable; however this update could include technical inaccuracies or typographical errors and Guttman Energy does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of this update. FURTHERMORE, THIS UPDATE IS PROVIDED "AS IS," WHERE IS, WITH ALL FAULTS AND WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY OR CONDITION OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS, IMPLIED OR STATUTORY. GUTTMAN ENERGY ALSO SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIMS ALL EXPRESS AND IMPLIED WARRANTIES. YOU USE THIS UPDATE AT YOUR SOLE RISK. This update and any view or comment expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted in any way as recommendation or inducement to buy or sell products, commodity futures or options contracts.


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