On April 10th, we had warned the spring price rally along with summer gas specification changes were upon us and soon retail gasoline prices would breach the $3.00 mark. Looking at GasBuddy, retail gas prices today across Pennsylvania $3.00 plus prices are now the norm. Pittsburgh with RFG gasoline leads the state with an average $3.15 per gallon 87 grade pump price.
On March 1st the front month futures gasoline contract closed at $1.74 a gallon. At the time of this writing the contract trades were at $2.03 per gallon, a 14% increase in five weeks. Further pushing physical prices higher is the price differential (Basis) versus the futures which moved $0.07.
Notwithstanding OPEC production cuts, Venezuela sanctions restricting crude supply to the US Gulf Coast driving the market higher, retail gasoline prices are poised to make their annual spring run. Seasonal specification changes in gasoline have a significant impact on price.
On December 26th NYMEX low traded at $1.6205 per gallon. Since then, the price has moved higher to $0.27 per gallon moving ever closer to the $2.00 mark.