Middle Eastern Madness

By: Daniel Guttman / November 24, 2015

Turkish warplanes shot down a Russian military aircraft as it was flying near the Syrian border today. Outraged, Vladmir Putin warned Turkey that it will suffer significant consequences for its actions. Turkey claims that it gave repeated warnings for the aircraft to leave, but the Russian aircraft did not cooperate. This headline, along with a weaker U.S. dollar and strength in prices yesterday are releasing the bulls today, as diesel is + $.0350, gas + $.0750, and crude + $1.40 as of noon E.T.

We witnessed a spike in the market yesterday after Saudi Arabia announced that it will work towards oil price stability. This implies that we may have hit the bottom of the market, considering prices have been low for an extended period of time. It isn’t a coincidence that the market is suddenly jolting upwards after Saudi Arabia came out with that statement. One thing to keep in mind is the recurring statement of a “global glut” lingering in the shadows of the top headlines. Genscape reported a build of 2.2 million barrels of crude in Cushing, OK. Here is a statement from an analyst at the Price Futures Group in Chicago late last week: "The overarching concern in this market is the growing inventory levels for crude, and that doesn't seem to be easing despite the strong refinery runs we've been having.” The Saudis’ desired outcome of their statement and the reality of the oversupplied market are in direct conflict.

 

On one side we have bullish news with Middle Eastern issues and Saudi Arabian statements, and on the other we have the broken record of the continued oversupply of oil and weak economic indicators, globally. Pretty soon something has to give. One last reminder: historically, prices dip after Thanksgiving on year-end inventory management.

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Categories: Daily Market Update


Daniel Guttman

Written by

Daniel Guttman

With a background in wholesale and commercial sales as well as pipeline scheduling, Daniel is currently the Manager, Business Development in the Card Access Fuels department. He is tasked to find new and innovative solutions to increase sales opportunities for the sales team while managing and evaluating internal department processes. He assists with day to day personnel management, customer data analysis, as well as the daily Pacific Pride inventory and pricing direction.


Guttman Energy Daily Market Update Disclaimer – The information contained in this market update is derived from sources believed to be reliable; however this update could include technical inaccuracies or typographical errors and Guttman Energy does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of this update. FURTHERMORE, THIS UPDATE IS PROVIDED "AS IS," WHERE IS, WITH ALL FAULTS AND WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY OR CONDITION OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS, IMPLIED OR STATUTORY. GUTTMAN ENERGY ALSO SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIMS ALL EXPRESS AND IMPLIED WARRANTIES. YOU USE THIS UPDATE AT YOUR SOLE RISK. This update and any view or comment expressed herein are provided for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted in any way as recommendation or inducement to buy or sell products, commodity futures or options contracts.


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