When news of how potentially devastating COVID-19 could be started spreading in February 2020, oil prices were at $53/barrel. This was prior to the OPEC+ price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia that occurred in March and resulted in Saudi Arabia drastically increasing oil production after Russia refused to reduce output. We all know that COVID-19 and the OPEC+ price war eventually ended up attributing to NYMEX crude oil prices trading negatively in April, but here we are back at $52.60/barrel at writing. Now what?
higher oil prices
Ever since WTI crude oil prices broke out above the $32/barrel level in May, we have been on a steady grind higher. The question is, will this continue?
As we near the end of May, we will put behind us one of the most bullish rallies for the WTI crude oil contract in history with crude jumping almost 75% this month alone. Of course, with WTI prices currently trading at $33.33/barrel, that’s not saying much, as it is widely perceived the breakeven price for domestic crude producers is $32/barrel. The question is: will this rally persist? Let’s review some components to watch out for this summer.
United States crude oil inventories rose by the most on record last week. So why is the crude oil market rallying today, and is it sustainable?
Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iran's elite Quds military force and one of the most powerful figures in the Islamic Republic, was killed Thursday night in an airstrike in Baghdad, the U.S. Defense Department confirmed. The death of such a powerful figure in the Iranian landscape raises questions about instability in a region which supplies about 25 percent of the world’s oil. Brent Oil, the international benchmark of crude, surged to nearly $70 a barrel (an increase of 4 percent) whereas West Texas Intermediate, the American oil benchmark for crude, also rose about 4 percent, to nearly $64 a barrel. This is the largest price increase since the attack on a major Saudi oil processing plant back in September.